Match

Alcione vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni

AlcionePergolettese

The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcione wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcione vs Pergolettese?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Alcione (1,780) and Pergolettese (1,729).

38%28%34%
Alcione winDrawPergolettese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alcione vs Pergolettese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alcione

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Morselli
  2. 98L. Zini
  3. 14A. Rolfini
  1. 18E. Lopes
  2. 30R. Rebaudo
  3. 10J. Pitou
  1. 25Filippo Pirola
  2. 4A. Miculi
  3. 19N. Trapani
  4. 5E. Sadotti
  1. 1F. Raffaelli

Pergolettese

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Ferrandino
  2. 49E. Zaia
  3. 7A. Pala
  1. 20M. Tremolada
  2. 70J. Antollini
  3. 4M. Arini
  1. 5T. Silvestri
  2. 73E. Bassi
  3. 76L. Roversi
  4. 15C. Dell'Orco
  1. 22F. Doldi

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 09:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Pergolettese have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Lumezzane(home)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 31, 2026Giana Erminio(away)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 24, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)4-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Lecco(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Renate(home)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 30, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Lumezzane(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Ospitaletto(away)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Alcione wins, 0 draws, 0 Pergolettese wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Alcione 1-0 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2025Pergolettese 0-2 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A
Mar 29, 2025Alcione 2-1 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Nov 16, 2024Pergolettese 1-2 AlcioneSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Pergolettese on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alcione score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alcione1.51.7111/159/15
Pergolettese1.01.167/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alcione sit 8th in Serie C - Girone A (18 points from 13 matches) and Pergolettese sit 10th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Alcione13463211918
10Pergolettese13454141517

A question about Alcione vs Pergolettese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Pergolettese?
The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Alcione vs Pergolettese played?
Alcione vs Pergolettese is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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