Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,796) and Colonia Moscardó (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trival Valderas
Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.
Colonia Moscardó
4-3-3- 9Dani Segovia
- SSamu Guillén
- 19Dzhoshkun Temenuzhkov Mihaylov
- 10Crespo
- MM. Sennouni
- 22Julio Cidoncha
- 20M. Télis
- NNacho Recalde
- 3Borja Paris
- MMiguel García
- 13Guille Pérez
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Trival Valderas win, 2 draws, 1 Colonia Moscardó win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 1-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Colonia Moscardó 0-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Trival Valderas 1-0 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Trival Valderas score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trival Valderas sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (15 points from 10 matches) and Colonia Moscardó sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colonia Moscardó | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | Trival Valderas | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Colonia Moscardó.
- Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó played?
- Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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