Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó played?

Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Colonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,833) and Colonia Moscardó (1,768).

Trival Valderas win46 %

Draw26 %

Colonia Moscardó win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Colonia Moscardó
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Intercity(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Navalcarnero(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Orihuela(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Getafe II(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Trival Valderas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 14, 2024	Colonia Moscardó 1-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 26, 2023	Trival Valderas 1-1 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 16, 2022	Colonia Moscardó 0-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 12, 2021	Trival Valderas 1-0 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas on Apr 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Colonia Moscardó	1.1	1.3	5	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Colonia Moscardó.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó played?: Trival Valderas vs Colonia Moscardó is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.