Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?

Real Aranjuez vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Aranjuez vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real Aranjuez

Pozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

Pozuelo Alarcón starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,544).

Real Aranjuez win33 %

Draw28 %

Pozuelo Alarcón win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo Alarcón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Marchamalo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Tres Cantos(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Carabanchel(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Móstoles(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Aranjuez win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 22, 2023	Pozuelo Alarcón 1-0 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 18, 2022	Real Aranjuez 1-1 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Real Aranjuez on Jan 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15
Pozuelo Alarcón	1.1	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Pozuelo Alarcón	34	12	12	10	40	33	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Pozuelo Alarcón?: The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?: Real Aranjuez vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.