Leganés II vs Torrejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Torrejón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganés II vs Torrejón?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,803) and Torrejón (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Leganés II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Torrejón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Torrejón 2-5 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Leganés II 2-0 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Torrejón 3-2 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Leganés II 3-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 12, 2024 | Leganés II 3-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Torrejón 0-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Leganés II on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Torrejón | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganés II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (55 points from 34 matches) and Torrejón sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torrejón | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 46 | 60 |
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Torrejón?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Torrejón.
- Where and when is Leganés II vs Torrejón played?
- Leganés II vs Torrejón is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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