SS Reyes II vs Móstoles: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Reyes II vs Móstoles?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate SS Reyes II (1,790) and Móstoles (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SS Reyes II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Móstoles win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Móstoles 1-1 SS Reyes II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | SS Reyes II 1-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs SS Reyes II on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SS Reyes II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Móstoles | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SS Reyes II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (49 points from 34 matches) and Móstoles sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Móstoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 51 |
| 8 | SS Reyes II | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Reyes II vs Móstoles?
- The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Móstoles.
- Where and when is SS Reyes II vs Móstoles played?
- SS Reyes II vs Móstoles is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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