Trofense vs AD Marco 09: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
The Footlab AI model makes AD Marco 09 the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Trofense. The most likely score is 1-1. If AD Marco 09 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trofense vs AD Marco 09?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Trofense (1,924) and AD Marco 09 (1,990).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trofense vs AD Marco 09
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trofense
4-3-3- 11Kiki
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 89Nuninho
- 65A. Gomes
- 22Matheus Claudino
- 6S. Ufala
- 21T. Oliveira
- 50T. Silva
- 3Lucca Carvalho
- 7J. Oliveira
- 31Manuel Baldé
AD Marco 09
4-3-3- 8Erivaldo
- 9Ka
- 10L. Garro
- 23João Guilherme
- 20B. Traoré
- 18F. Fernandes
- 4Chicão
- 77R. Barrett
- 82J. Guerrero
- 2Victor Thiago
- 64T. Martins
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trofense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; AD Marco 09 have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leça(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | São João Ver(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Régua(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Trofense wins, 1 draw, 1 AD Marco 09 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Trofense 0-1 AD Marco 09 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | AD Marco 09 1-1 Trofense | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Trofense vs AD Marco 09 on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trofense score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AD Marco 09 score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| AD Marco 09 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trofense sit 9th in Liga 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and AD Marco 09 sit 3rd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Trofense vs AD Marco 09?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trofense vs AD Marco 09?
- The Footlab AI model makes AD Marco 09 the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Trofense.
- Where and when is Trofense vs AD Marco 09 played?
- Trofense vs AD Marco 09 is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.