Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parque Municipal dos Desportos, Fafe
The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Pacos Ferreira. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
Fafe starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,061 vs 1,900).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fafe
4-3-3- 13Tiago Veiga
- 9M. Correia
- 11Picas
- 20Duarte Carvalho
- 10Daniel Carvalho
- 8Mimito Biai
- 4Leandro Teixeira
- 26João Batista
- 2Obama Ribeiro
- 6Nuno Sequeira
- 1P. Kudakovskiy
Pacos Ferreira
4-2-3-1- 99Platiny
- 80Caio Rafael
- 8Nuno Cunha
- 10João Neto
- 70Vitinho
- 19Tomás Castro
- 33Rafael Vieira
- 29Tiago Cerveira
- 85D. Castro
- 15Leandro Dias
- 1Rafa
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fafe have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pacos Ferreira have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lajense(home) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leça(away) | 3-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fafe(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fafe win, 1 draw, 0 Pacos Ferreira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira 0-1 Fafe | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Fafe 1-1 Pacos Ferreira | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fafe score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pacos Ferreira score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fafe | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pacos Ferreira | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fafe sit 4th in Liga 3 (8 points from 4 matches) and Pacos Ferreira sit 10th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fafe | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fafe the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Pacos Ferreira.
- Where and when is Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira played?
- Fafe vs Pacos Ferreira is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.