SC Covilha vs Caldas: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, Covilhã
The Footlab AI model makes SC Covilha the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Caldas. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Covilha wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Covilha vs Caldas?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate SC Covilha (1,899) and Caldas (1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Covilha vs Caldas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Covilha
4-3-3- 99C. Niang
- 9Gui Silva
- 18J. Pacheco
- 6A. Barbosa
- 5H. Innusah
- 80G. Cascalheira
- 2Kauan Gomes
- 4D. Silva
- 45M. Aidara
- 23Emerson Gomes
- 1Gustavo Galil
Caldas
4-3-3- 17Goncas
- 9G. Chaves
- 77G. Pio
- 6Diogo Izata
- 80M. Palmerio
- 5R. Correia
- 3Nando
- 20G. Lourenco
- 56Caio Amaral
- 25L. Farinha
- 12D. Almeida
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Covilha have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Caldas have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético CP(home) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 2-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC Covilha wins, 2 draws, 1 Caldas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Caldas 1-1 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | SC Covilha 1-0 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | SC Covilha 2-1 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Caldas 2-1 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | SC Covilha 1-1 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Caldas 0-1 SC Covilha | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Covilha score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caldas score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Covilha | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Caldas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Covilha sit 8th in Liga 3 (5 points from 5 matches) and Caldas sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about SC Covilha vs Caldas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Covilha vs Caldas?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Covilha the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Caldas.
- Where and when is SC Covilha vs Caldas played?
- SC Covilha vs Caldas is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal José Santos Pinto, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.