Trofense vs Guimaraes B: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
The Footlab AI model makes Trofense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Guimaraes B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trofense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trofense vs Guimaraes B?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Trofense (1,930) and Guimaraes B (2,008).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trofense vs Guimaraes B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trofense
4-3-3- 11Kiki
- 30Feliz Vaz
- 89Nuninho
- 65A. Gomes
- 22Matheus Claudino
- 6S. Ufala
- 21T. Oliveira
- 50T. Silva
- 3Lucca Carvalho
- 7J. Oliveira
- 31Manuel Baldé
Guimaraes B
4-3-3- 87G. Paula
- 14Rodrigo Duarte
- 67Rodrigo Neto
- 80R. Rocha
- 50Zeega
- 36A. Meireles
- 93Rika
- 76Rafael Alcobia
- 72T. Rodrigues
- 96Rodrigo Silva
- 99Guilherme
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trofense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Guimaraes B have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Leça(home) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fafe(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leça(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Trofense wins, 2 draws, 1 Guimaraes B win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guimaraes B 0-0 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Trofense 1-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Guimaraes B 1-2 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Trofense 0-1 Guimaraes B | Liga 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Guimaraes B 1-2 Trofense | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Guimaraes B vs Trofense on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trofense score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes B score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Guimaraes B | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trofense sit 9th in Liga 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Guimaraes B sit 10th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 10 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Trofense vs Guimaraes B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trofense vs Guimaraes B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trofense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Guimaraes B.
- Where and when is Trofense vs Guimaraes B played?
- Trofense vs Guimaraes B is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.