Where and when is Truro City vs Chesham United played?

Truro City vs Chesham United is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Truro City vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall

Truro City

Chesham United

The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Truro City vs Chesham United?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Truro City (1,752) and Chesham United (1,792).

Truro City win41 %

Draw26 %

Chesham United win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Truro City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Southampton U21(home)	2-1	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Chelmsford City(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	2-0	National League - South
Jul 25, 2026	Plymouth(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Truro City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chesham United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2025	Chesham United 1-4 Truro City	National League - South
Nov 23, 2024	Truro City 2-1 Chesham United	National League - South
Feb 28, 2023	Truro City 3-1 Chesham United	Non League Premier - Southern South
Nov 26, 2022	Chesham United 3-1 Truro City	Non League Premier - Southern South
Dec 4, 2021	Chesham United 3-1 Truro City	Non League Premier - Southern South
Sep 25, 2021	Truro City 4-1 Chesham United	Non League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Truro City on Mar 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Truro City	1.0	0.6	7	4/15	3/15
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Truro City	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Chesham United?: The Footlab model makes Truro City the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Truro City vs Chesham United played?: Truro City vs Chesham United is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.