Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Maidstone Utd (1,930) and Weston-super-Mare (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidstone Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Weston-super-Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Maidstone Utd 2-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 0-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 1-0 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Weston-super-Mare.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.