Match

Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire

FarnboroughTonbridge Angels

The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,772) and Tonbridge Angels (1,771).

Farnborough win35 %
Draw25 %
Tonbridge Angels win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Tonbridge Angels
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Truro City(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Dover(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Torquay(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Braintree(away)4-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Farnborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tonbridge Angels win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Farnborough 1-6 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Aug 30, 2025Tonbridge Angels 3-3 FarnboroughNational League - South
Apr 5, 2025Tonbridge Angels 1-4 FarnboroughNational League - South
Aug 26, 2024Farnborough 0-2 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Apr 1, 2024Tonbridge Angels 1-2 FarnboroughNational League - South
Oct 24, 2023Farnborough 4-1 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15
Tonbridge Angels1.71.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Farnborough4211447
9Tonbridge Angels4202646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels?
The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels played?
Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnborough and Tonbridge Angels

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