TS Galaxy vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mbombela Stadium, Nelspruit
The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for TS Galaxy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TS Galaxy vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TS Galaxy have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siwelele(away) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 12, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 TS Galaxy win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Kaizer Chiefs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs 2-0 TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | TS Galaxy 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 16, 2024 | TS Galaxy 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| May 7, 2024 | Kaizer Chiefs 2-2 TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | TS Galaxy 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Kaizer Chiefs vs TS Galaxy on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TS Galaxy score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TS Galaxy | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TS Galaxy sit 10th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | TS Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TS Galaxy vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for TS Galaxy.
- Where and when is TS Galaxy vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- TS Galaxy vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mbombela Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.