Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
The Footlab model makes Richards Bay the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Richards Bay (1,710) and Marumo Gallants (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Marumo Gallants have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Richards Bay win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Marumo Gallants win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Richards Bay 1-2 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Richards Bay 2-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 0-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Marumo Gallants 0-2 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Richards Bay 0-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richards Bay sit 11th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Marumo Gallants sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants?
- The Footlab model makes Richards Bay the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants played?
- Richards Bay vs Marumo Gallants is played on March 5, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.