Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Golden Arrows. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?
Mamelodi Sundowns starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 13I. Rayners
- 4T. Mokoena
- 17T. Matthews
- 11M. Allende
- 33C. Mailula
- 38S. Mthanti
- 3K. Ndamane
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 22T. Matuludi
- 23F. Basadien
- 30R. Williams
Golden Arrows
4-3-3- 18S. Dion
- 36P. Kumalo
- 28R. Van Neel
- 25A. Maxwele
- 24N. Dlamini
- 41N. Zwane
- 3K. Shezi
- 20O. Maluleke
- 38N. Mabaso
- 4A. Jiyane
- 27T. Mbanjwa
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Golden Arrows have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Siwelele(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mamelodi Sundowns wins, 1 draw, 2 Golden Arrows wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Golden Arrows 1-2 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Golden Arrows 2-3 Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 Golden Arrows | 8 Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (23 points from 9 matches) and Golden Arrows sit 8th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Golden Arrows.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.