Tukums II vs Mārupe: result 1-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on July 27, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
Full time
What was the result of Tukums II vs Mārupe?
Mārupe won 1-2 on July 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 33′D. RogovsTukums II
- 61′R. KorolcuksMārupe
- 72′R. KorolcuksMārupe
Official lineup for Tukums II vs Mārupe
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Tukums II
- 16I. Atligins
- 17M. Derkach
- 6K. Volkovs
- 14D. Putrāns
- 20R. Dzeguze
- 25H. Joksts
- 3M. Semeško
- 5D. Rogovs
- 21D. Valmiers
- 24E. Anševics
- 12K. Keziks
Mārupe
- 4R. Korzans
- 11V. Cebotarjovs
- 6K. Komorovskis
- 7K. Korsaks
- 17R. Korolcuks
- 20R. Speks
- 22N. Zarovs
- 23A. Kirilins
- 21G. Strauss
- 26K. Jansons
- 1R. Zandreiters
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums II have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Mārupe have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 29, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Smiltene(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Ogre United(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jul 5, 2025 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Progress / AFA Olaine(away) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Rīga United(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Tukums II wins, 0 draws, 3 Mārupe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mārupe 1-0 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Mārupe 2-1 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Tukums II 0-1 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums II score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mārupe score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums II | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Mārupe | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tukums II sit 11th in 1. Liga (18 points from 22 matches) and Mārupe sit 6th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 34 | 32 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 63 | 18 |
A question about Tukums II vs Mārupe?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy