Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: result 4-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 22, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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What was the result of Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums won 4-1 on July 22, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; BFC Daugavpils have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2017 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 17, 2017 | Jēkabpils(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Staiceles Bebri(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 3, 2017 | RTU(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 27, 2017 | Smiltene(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2017 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 17, 2017 | Auda(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 3, 2017 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 27, 2017 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| May 20, 2017 | Ogre(away) | 6-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tukums win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 BFC Daugavpils win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2013 | Tukums 2-10 BFC Daugavpils | 1. Liga |
| May 12, 2013 | BFC Daugavpils 7-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Tukums 0-5 BFC Daugavpils | 1. Liga |
| May 19, 2012 | BFC Daugavpils 3-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils on Oct 30, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Daugavpils score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 2.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy