Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: result 4-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 22, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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What was the result of Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums won 4-1 on July 22, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; BFC Daugavpils have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2017 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 17, 2017 | Jēkabpils(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Staiceles Bebri(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 3, 2017 | RTU(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 27, 2017 | Smiltene(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2017 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 17, 2017 | Auda(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 3, 2017 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 5-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 27, 2017 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| May 20, 2017 | Ogre(away) | 6-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tukums wins, 0 draws, 4 BFC Daugavpils wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2013 | Tukums 2-10 BFC Daugavpils | 1. Liga |
| May 12, 2013 | BFC Daugavpils 7-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Tukums 0-5 BFC Daugavpils | 1. Liga |
| May 19, 2012 | BFC Daugavpils 3-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils on Oct 30, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Daugavpils score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 2.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy