Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils: result 2-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on October 4, 2020 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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What was the result of Tukums vs BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums won 2-1 on October 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 3′M. RegžaBFC Daugavpils (pen.)
- 42′A. RegžaTukums
- 90′J. KrautmanisTukums
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; BFC Daugavpils have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2020 | FK Ventspils(away) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Jelgava(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-3 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2020 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-5 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2020 | Jelgava(away) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 24, 2020 | FK Liepaja(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2020 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-4 | Virsliga |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Spartaks Jurmala(away) | 3-3 | Virsliga |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tukums win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 BFC Daugavpils win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2020 | BFC Daugavpils 1-1 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Jun 25, 2020 | Tukums 0-6 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| Oct 21, 2017 | BFC Daugavpils 8-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Tukums 4-1 BFC Daugavpils | 1. Liga |
| Oct 30, 2013 | Tukums 2-10 BFC Daugavpils | 1. Liga |
| May 12, 2013 | BFC Daugavpils 7-0 Tukums | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums on Aug 3, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Daugavpils score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tukums sit 9th in Virsliga (20 points from 27 matches) and BFC Daugavpils sit 4th (37 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 37 |
| 9 | Tukums | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 54 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy