Tukums vs Smiltene: result 4-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 10, 2014 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
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What was the result of Tukums vs Smiltene?
Tukums won 4-2 on May 10, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Smiltene have 1, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2014 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| May 1, 2014 | Ogre(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Pļaviņas / DM(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Auda(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Salaspils(home) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2014 | Gulbene(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| May 1, 2014 | Olaine / Super Nova(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Pļaviņas / DM(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 2.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 0.5 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 2.1 | 2.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Smiltene | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2 | 2/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy