Tukums vs Super Nova: result 1-0 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 17, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
Full time
What was the result of Tukums vs Super Nova?
Tukums won 1-0 on September 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 66′A. KrancmanisTukums
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Super Nova have 0, 1 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2023 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 3-0 | Virsliga |
| Aug 26, 2023 | FS Jelgava(away) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | FK Liepaja(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 28, 2023 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-5 | Virsliga |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Riga(home) | 1-5 | Virsliga |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Metta / LU(home) | 1-3 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tukums win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Super Nova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2023 | Super Nova 2-5 Tukums | Virsliga |
| May 27, 2023 | Tukums 3-2 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Super Nova 2-0 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Tukums 2-0 Super Nova | Virsliga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Super Nova 2-1 Tukums | Virsliga |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Super Nova 0-2 Tukums | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Super Nova score 0.8 and concede 3.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | 1.5 | 2.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Super Nova | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tukums sit 9th in Virsliga (20 points from 27 matches) and Super Nova sit 6th (28 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Super Nova | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 37 | 28 |
| 9 | Tukums | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 54 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy