Match

Turégano vs Cultural Leonesa II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

TuréganoCultural Leonesa II

The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cultural Leonesa II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turégano vs Cultural Leonesa II?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Turégano (1,738) and Cultural Leonesa II (1,745).

Turégano win45 %
Draw28 %
Cultural Leonesa II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Cultural Leonesa II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Celta Vigo(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023Santurtzi(home)3-1Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022Velarde(away)0-1Copa del Rey
Cultural Leonesa II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Atlético Mansillés(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Numancia II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Turégano1.02.001/32/3
Cultural Leonesa II1.31.555/1511/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Cultural Leonesa II3412616384342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Cultural Leonesa II?
The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Cultural Leonesa II.
Where and when is Turégano vs Cultural Leonesa II played?
Turégano vs Cultural Leonesa II is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Turégano and Cultural Leonesa II

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