Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF played?

Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Cristo Atlético

Palencia CF

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Cristo Atlético (1,862) and Palencia CF (1,804).

Cristo Atlético win52 %

Draw26 %

Palencia CF win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cristo Atlético
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Laredo(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Palencia CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cristo Atlético win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Palencia CF win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Cristo Atlético 1-0 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Palencia CF 2-0 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 28, 2026	Palencia CF 0-1 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 16, 2025	Cristo Atlético 1-2 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 2, 2025	Cristo Atlético 1-1 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 19, 2024	Palencia CF 2-2 Cristo Atlético	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cristo Atlético	1.5	0.8	5	8/15	5/15
Palencia CF	1.7	1.5	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cristo Atlético	34	21	5	8	48	24	68
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59	39	64

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF?: The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Palencia CF.
Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF played?: Cristo Atlético vs Palencia CF is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.