Guijuelo vs Arandina: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arandina. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guijuelo vs Arandina?
Guijuelo starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arandina have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ribert(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Becerril Campos(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Guijuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arandina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Arandina 1-2 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Guijuelo 2-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Arandina 0-1 Guijuelo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Guijuelo 1-0 Arandina | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Arandina 1-1 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Guijuelo 2-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guijuelo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Arandina | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guijuelo sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (70 points from 34 matches) and Arandina sit 12th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 70 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs Arandina?
- The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arandina.
- Where and when is Guijuelo vs Arandina played?
- Guijuelo vs Arandina is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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