Match

Guijuelo vs Arandina: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo

GuijueloArandina

The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arandina. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guijuelo vs Arandina?

Guijuelo starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,713).

Guijuelo win72 %
Draw18 %
Arandina win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arandina have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guijuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026Ribert(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Tamaraceite(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Arandina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Becerril Campos(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Mirandés II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Bembibre(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026UD Santa Marta(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026La Virgen del Camino(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Guijuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Arandina win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Arandina 1-2 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 5, 2025Guijuelo 2-0 ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 16, 2024Arandina 0-1 GuijueloSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 5, 2023Guijuelo 1-0 ArandinaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 23, 2022Arandina 1-1 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 19, 2021Guijuelo 2-0 ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Guijuelo on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guijuelo1.71.3410/159/15
Arandina1.31.529/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guijuelo sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (70 points from 34 matches) and Arandina sit 12th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Guijuelo342176542670
12Arandina3491015324637

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs Arandina?
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Arandina.
Where and when is Guijuelo vs Arandina played?
Guijuelo vs Arandina is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Guijuelo and Arandina

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