Where and when is Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos played?

Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre

Bembibre

Colegios Diocesanos

The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Bembibre (1,653) and Colegios Diocesanos (1,588).

Bembibre win58 %

Draw23 %

Colegios Diocesanos win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Colegios Diocesanos have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bembibre
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Palencia CF(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Becerril Campos(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Arandina(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Mirandés II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026	UD Santa Marta(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Colegios Diocesanos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Villaralbo(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Mirandés II(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026	Unionistas II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 12, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bembibre win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Colegios Diocesanos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Colegios Diocesanos 2-1 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 12, 2025	Bembibre 0-1 Colegios Diocesanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 14, 2024	Bembibre 2-0 Colegios Diocesanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 25, 2023	Colegios Diocesanos 0-0 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 9, 2022	Bembibre 1-0 Colegios Diocesanos	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 27, 2021	Colegios Diocesanos 1-0 Bembibre	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Colegios Diocesanos vs Bembibre on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bembibre score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bembibre	1.3	1.6	5	9/15	8/15
Colegios Diocesanos	1.0	2.1	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bembibre sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (34 points from 34 matches) and Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Colegios Diocesanos	34	10	6	18	33	54	36
14	Bembibre	34	8	10	16	38	52	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos?: The Footlab model makes Bembibre the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Colegios Diocesanos.
Where and when is Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos played?: Bembibre vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.