Mirandés II vs Almazán: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Almazán. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandés II vs Almazán?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Mirandés II (1,757) and Almazán (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandés II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Almazán have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mirandés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Almazán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Almazán 1-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Mirandés II 3-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mirandés II 1-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Almazán 0-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Almazán 1-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Mirandés II 2-1 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Almazán vs Mirandés II on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandés II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Almazán | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandés II sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (47 points from 34 matches) and Almazán sit 7th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almazán | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandés II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandés II vs Almazán?
- The Footlab model makes Mirandés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Almazán.
- Where and when is Mirandés II vs Almazán played?
- Mirandés II vs Almazán is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026GuijuelovsArandina
- Nov 1, 2026BembibrevsColegios Diocesanos
- Nov 1, 2026Cristo AtléticovsPalencia CF
- Nov 1, 2026La Virgen del CaminovsUnionistas II
- Nov 1, 2026Salamanca IIvsUD Santa Marta
- Nov 1, 2026Atlético MansillésvsVillaralbo
- Nov 1, 2026TuréganovsCultural Leonesa II
- Nov 1, 2026Calasanz de SoriavsBurgos Promesas