Tusker vs Mara Sugar: result 3-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Tusker vs Mara Sugar?
Tusker won 3-1 on November 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 43′621765Tusker
- 70′599192Tusker
- 78′?Tusker
- 88′?Mara Sugar (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mara Sugar have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 3K(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Tusker wins, 1 draw, 1 Mara Sugar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tusker 0-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Mara Sugar 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Mara Sugar 1-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Tusker 2-1 Mara Sugar | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Mara Sugar 1-2 Tusker | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mara Sugar score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Mara Sugar | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 7th in FKF Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Mara Sugar sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Tusker vs Mara Sugar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy