Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660) and Tzeirey Tamra (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tzeirey Tamra have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 11, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra played?
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 30, 2026Ironi NeshervsBeitar Nahariya
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