UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, General San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Argentino de Merlo the favourite at 42%, against 36% for a draw and 21% for UAI Urquiza. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate UAI Urquiza (1,578) and Argentino de Merlo (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UAI Urquiza have 1 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats; Argentino de Merlo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(home) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flandria(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Excursionistas(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ituzaingó(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(away) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(home) | 1-3 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UAI Urquiza win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Argentino de Merlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo 0-2 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 19, 2025 | UAI Urquiza 0-0 Argentino de Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Argentino de Merlo 0-0 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Nov 4, 2024 | UAI Urquiza 1-4 Argentino de Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Argentino de Merlo 3-2 UAI Urquiza | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 19, 2023 | UAI Urquiza 2-3 Argentino de Merlo | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Argentino de Merlo vs UAI Urquiza on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UAI Urquiza score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Argentino de Merlo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAI Urquiza | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Argentino de Merlo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UAI Urquiza sit 19th in Primera B Metropolitana (20 points from 20 matches) and Argentino de Merlo sit 12th (24 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Argentino de Merlo | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 40 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 24 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 32 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?
- The Footlab model makes Argentino de Merlo the favourite at 42%, against 36% for a draw and 21% for UAI Urquiza.
- Where and when is UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo played?
- UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental de Villa Lynch, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Villa DalminevsArsenal Sarandi
- Sep 5, 2026Real PilarvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 5, 2026Dock SudvsComunicaciones
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 5, 2026Villa San CarlosvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo MerlovsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 5, 2026ExcursionistasvsItuzaingó
- Sep 5, 2026San Martín BurzacovsDeportivo Armenio