UCAM Murcia II vs San Javier: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Mayayo, Sangonera la Verde
The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for San Javier. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCAM Murcia II vs San Javier?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCAM Murcia II have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; San Javier have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | UCAM Murcia II | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCAM Murcia II vs San Javier?
- The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for San Javier.
- Where and when is UCAM Murcia II vs San Javier played?
- UCAM Murcia II vs San Javier is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Mayayo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026El PalmarvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Sep 27, 2026Los GarresvsCartagena LU II
- Sep 27, 2026SFC MinervavsOlímpico Totana
- Sep 27, 2026Bala AzulvsAlcantarilla
- Sep 27, 2026Unión MolinensevsMazarrón FC
- Sep 27, 2026AlgarvsBalsicas Atlético
- Sep 27, 2026Santa CruzvsÁguilas II
- Sep 27, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSantomera