Where and when is Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla played?

Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala Azul

Alcantarilla

The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla?

Bala Azul starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,590).

Bala Azul win54 %

Draw26 %

Alcantarilla win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Alcantarilla have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Alcantarilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 4, 2025	Águilas II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2025	Lorca Deportiva(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 20, 2025	Santomera(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 13, 2025	UCAM Murcia II(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bala Azul win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alcantarilla win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 19, 2025	Bala Azul 1-1 Alcantarilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 19, 2024	Alcantarilla 0-3 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla on Mar 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15
Alcantarilla	0.5	1.6	6	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla?: The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Alcantarilla.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla played?: Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.