Algar vs Balsicas Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar
The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algar vs Balsicas Atlético?
Balsicas Atlético starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Balsicas Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Plus Ultra(home) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 5, 2024 | Bullense(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 1, 2024 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Cieza(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Algar win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Balsicas Atlético win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Balsicas Atlético 2-2 Algar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Algar 1-1 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Balsicas Atlético vs Algar on Mar 17, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algar | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algar vs Balsicas Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Balsicas Atlético.
- Where and when is Algar vs Balsicas Atlético played?
- Algar vs Balsicas Atlético is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026El PalmarvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Sep 27, 2026Los GarresvsCartagena LU II
- Sep 27, 2026SFC MinervavsOlímpico Totana
- Sep 27, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsSan Javier
- Sep 27, 2026Bala AzulvsAlcantarilla
- Sep 27, 2026Unión MolinensevsMazarrón FC
- Sep 27, 2026Santa CruzvsÁguilas II
- Sep 27, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSantomera