Poblense vs Alcoyano: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla (Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Poblense the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Alcoyano. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poblense vs Alcoyano?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Poblense (1,986) and Alcoyano (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poblense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Alcoyano have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Poblense win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Alcoyano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Poblense 0-0 Alcoyano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Alcoyano 0-0 Poblense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Poblense score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alcoyano score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poblense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Alcoyano | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poblense sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (59 points from 34 matches) and Alcoyano sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Poblense | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 59 |
| 5 | Alcoyano | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poblense vs Alcoyano?
- The Footlab model makes Poblense the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for Alcoyano.
- Where and when is Poblense vs Alcoyano played?
- Poblense vs Alcoyano is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.