Poblense vs Alcoyano: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Alcoyano. The most likely score is 0-0. If Poblense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poblense vs Alcoyano?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Poblense (1,952) and Alcoyano (1,937).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poblense vs Alcoyano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poblense
4-3-3- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 23Antoni Peñafort
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 6Joan Salvà
- 10D. Martinez
- 1Vincenç Sabater
Alcoyano
Not enough data to predict the Alcoyano lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poblense have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Alcoyano have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Poblense wins, 2 draws, 1 Alcoyano win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcoyano 2-0 Poblense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Poblense 0-0 Alcoyano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Alcoyano 0-0 Poblense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Poblense score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcoyano score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poblense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alcoyano | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poblense sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (6 points from 6 matches) and Alcoyano sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 | Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Poblense vs Alcoyano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poblense vs Alcoyano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poblense the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Alcoyano.
- Where and when is Poblense vs Alcoyano played?
- Poblense vs Alcoyano is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.