UCD vs Dundalk: result 1-5 and analysis
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 3, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)UCD Bowl, Dublin
Full time
What was the result of UCD vs Dundalk?
Dundalk won 1-5 on November 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′M. GallagherUCD
- 33′P. DoyleDundalk
- 64′D. HorganDundalk
- 68′D. KellyDundalk
- 70′P. HobanDundalk
- 86′P. HobanDundalk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCD have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Dundalk have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | Shelbourne(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Cork City(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Bohemians(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Derry City(away) | 0-6 | Premier Division |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Shamrock Rovers(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | Bohemians(home) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Premier Division |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Shelbourne(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Drogheda United(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Cork City(home) | 5-0 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 UCD win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dundalk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2023 | Dundalk 4-1 UCD | Premier Division |
| May 1, 2023 | UCD 0-2 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Dundalk 1-1 UCD | Premier Division |
| Sep 9, 2022 | UCD 3-2 Dundalk | Premier Division |
| Jul 1, 2022 | Dundalk 3-0 UCD | Premier Division |
| May 6, 2022 | UCD 2-2 Dundalk | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
UCD score 0.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dundalk score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundalk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dundalk | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 29 | 35 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 43 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy