UCD vs Finn Harps: result 3-1 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on July 11, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)UCD Bowl, Dublin
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What was the result of UCD vs Finn Harps?
UCD won 3-1 on July 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′A. BrennanUCD
- 21′C. TourishFinn Harps
- 45′M. McCullaghUCD
- 50′Mikey RaggettUCD (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCD have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Finn Harps have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2025 | Treaty United(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Longford Town(away) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2025 | Longford Town(home) | 0-0 | First Division |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Treaty United(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Dundalk(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Athlone Town(away) | 0-0 | First Division |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Wexford(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UCD win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Finn Harps win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2025 | Finn Harps 1-2 UCD | First Division |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCD 1-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Aug 23, 2024 | UCD 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Finn Harps 1-1 UCD | First Division |
| May 17, 2024 | UCD 3-3 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Finn Harps 1-1 UCD | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
UCD score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Finn Harps score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Finn Harps | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCD sit 2nd in First Division (33 points from 20 matches) and Finn Harps sit 9th (18 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UCD | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | UCD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 56 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy