UCD vs Kerry: result 0-1 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on May 2, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)UCD Bowl, Dublin
Full time
What was the result of UCD vs Kerry?
Kerry won 0-1 on May 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 55′S. McgrathKerry (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCD have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Kerry have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Wexford(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Longford Town(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Dundalk(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 2-4 | First Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Finn Harps(away) | 2-4 | First Division |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Athlone Town(home) | 3-0 | First Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Treaty United(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 UCD win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kerry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Kerry 0-1 UCD | First Division |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Kerry 0-1 UCD | First Division |
| Jun 7, 2024 | UCD 2-1 Kerry | First Division |
| May 10, 2024 | Kerry 1-2 UCD | First Division |
| Apr 1, 2024 | UCD 1-1 Kerry | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
UCD score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kerry score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Kerry | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCD sit 2nd in First Division (33 points from 20 matches) and Kerry sit 8th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UCD | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | UCD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 44 |
| 6 | Kerry | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Kerry | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy