UCD vs Treaty United: result 3-2 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 7, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)UCD Bowl, Dublin
Full time
What was the result of UCD vs Treaty United?
UCD won 3-2 on May 7, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 11′Seán McSweeneyTreaty United (pen.)
- 37′Kieran HanlonTreaty United
- 45′D. KeaneUCD
- 51′S. BrennanUCD
- 54′H. O'BrienUCD
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCD have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Treaty United have 2, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | Wexford(away) | 6-0 | First Division |
| Apr 23, 2021 | Galway United(away) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Cabinteely(home) | 4-1 | First Division |
| Apr 9, 2021 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | First Division |
| Apr 3, 2021 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 4-0 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | Shelbourne(away) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Apr 23, 2021 | Cork City(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Galway United(away) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Apr 9, 2021 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Wexford(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
UCD score 3.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Treaty United score 1.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 3.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Treaty United | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 4/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCD sit 2nd in First Division (33 points from 20 matches) and Treaty United sit 10th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UCD | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | UCD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy