Match

UD San Pedro vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara

UD San PedroAlhaurino

The Footlab model makes UD San Pedro the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD San Pedro vs Alhaurino?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate UD San Pedro (1,741) and Alhaurino (1,706).

UD San Pedro win49 %
Draw29 %
Alhaurino win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD San Pedro have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Alhaurino have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Churriana Vega(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Torreperogil(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Torre del Mar(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mancha Real(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Churriana Vega(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026Torreperogil(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 UD San Pedro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Alhaurino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026UD San Pedro 0-0 AlhaurinoTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 9, 2025Alhaurino 0-2 UD San PedroTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 30, 2022UD San Pedro 4-2 AlhaurinoTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 8, 2021Alhaurino 4-0 UD San PedroTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: UD San Pedro vs Alhaurino on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UD San Pedro score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD San Pedro1.10.969/155/15
Alhaurino1.21.057/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD San Pedro sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (49 points from 34 matches) and Alhaurino sit 12th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8UD San Pedro34131011393749
12Alhaurino34111013414143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD San Pedro vs Alhaurino?
The Footlab model makes UD San Pedro the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Alhaurino.
Where and when is UD San Pedro vs Alhaurino played?
UD San Pedro vs Alhaurino is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: UD San Pedro and Alhaurino

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