Match

Almería II vs Mancha Real: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería IIMancha Real

The Footlab AI model makes Almería II the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Mancha Real. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs Mancha Real?

Almería II starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,629).

58%26%16%
Almería II winDrawMancha Real win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Almería II vs Mancha Real

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Almería II

4-3-3
  1. 7Luis Lara
  2. 35Lorenzo Sánchez
  3. MMarçal Casadevall Sánchez
  1. 37Joan Gázquez Llanes
  2. 21Antonio Jesús
  3. HHugo Martin
  1. RRené Pérez
  2. 26Paco Sanz
  3. 29Nacho Vila
  4. EEdu Pla
  1. 31Bruno Iribarne

Mancha Real

Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 12:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Mancha Real have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Motril(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Churriana Vega(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Granada II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Málaga II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Mancha Real
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026UD San Pedro(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Alhaurino(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Malaga City(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Torre del Mar(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Almería II win, 4 draws, 0 Mancha Real wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 5, 2024Mancha Real 2-2 Almería IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 23, 2023Almería II 0-0 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 28, 2021Mancha Real 2-2 Almería IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2020Almería II 0-0 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 10, 2019Almería II 4-0 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Mancha Real vs Almería II on May 5, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almería II1.31.158/156/15
Mancha Real1.01.6110/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almería II sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (19 points from 10 matches) and Mancha Real sit 16th (7 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Almería II1054114619
16Mancha Real101458167

A question about Almería II vs Mancha Real?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Mancha Real?
The Footlab AI model makes Almería II the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Mancha Real.
Where and when is Almería II vs Mancha Real played?
Almería II vs Mancha Real is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Almería II and Mancha Real

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