Where and when is Málaga II vs Huétor Vega played?

Málaga II vs Huétor Vega is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Málaga II vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga

Málaga II

Huétor Vega

The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Málaga II vs Huétor Vega?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,779) and Huétor Vega (1,759).

Málaga II win47 %

Draw29 %

Huétor Vega win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Huétor Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Huétor Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Martos(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Marbelli(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Mancha Real(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Málaga II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Huétor Vega win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 2, 2025	Málaga II 2-0 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 22, 2024	Huétor Vega 0-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 28, 2024	Málaga II 1-1 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 17, 2023	Huétor Vega 0-2 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 15, 2023	Huétor Vega 0-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 18, 2022	Málaga II 1-1 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Huétor Vega on Feb 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15
Huétor Vega	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Huétor Vega	34	12	9	13	43	42	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Huétor Vega?: The Footlab model makes Málaga II the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Huétor Vega.
Where and when is Málaga II vs Huétor Vega played?: Málaga II vs Huétor Vega is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.