Motril vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Escribano Castilla, Motril
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motril vs Marbelli?
On Elo ratings, Motril has 1,859 points and Marbelli 1,801.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Motril vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motril have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Marbelli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Motril win, 3 draws, 0 Marbelli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Motril 0-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Marbelli 1-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Marbelli 0-0 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Motril 2-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Motril score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motril | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motril sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 7 matches) and Marbelli sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Motril vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motril vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Marbelli.
- Where and when is Motril vs Marbelli played?
- Motril vs Marbelli is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Escribano Castilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027Atlético PorcunavsMalaga City
- Apr 11, 2027Granada IIvsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Apr 11, 2027Almería IIvsMancha Real
- Apr 11, 2027Málaga IIvsHuétor Vega
- Apr 11, 2027UD San PedrovsAlhaurino
- Apr 11, 2027Churriana VegavsArenas Armilla
- Apr 11, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsMelilla
- Apr 11, 2027CantoriavsTorre del Mar