Udinese vs Napoli: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Udinese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Napoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Udinese vs Napoli?
Napoli starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (2,067 vs 1,916).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Udinese vs Napoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Udinese
3-4-2-1- 46Unai Gómez
- 32J. Ekkelenkamp
- 23M. Vojvoda
- 8J. Karlström
- 11H. Kamara
- 6Oier Zarraga
- 30G. Chakvetadze
- 77E. Ebosse
- 14J. Abankwah
- 28O. Solet
- 40M. Okoye
Napoli
3-4-2-1- 19R. Højlund
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 11K. De Bruyne
- 68S. Lobotka
- 21M. Politano
- 70N. Lang
- 37L. Spinazzola
- 13Amir Rrahmani
- 16Rafa Marín
- 5B. Badiashile
- 1A. Meret
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Udinese have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Napoli have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Torino(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Inter(away) | 3-5 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Udinese win, 2 draws, 3 Napoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Napoli 1-0 Udinese | Serie A |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Udinese 1-0 Napoli | Serie A |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Napoli 1-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Udinese 1-3 Napoli | Serie A |
| May 6, 2024 | Udinese 1-1 Napoli | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Napoli 4-1 Udinese | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Udinese score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Napoli | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Udinese sit 15th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Napoli sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Udinese vs Napoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Napoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Udinese.
- Where and when is Udinese vs Napoli played?
- Udinese vs Napoli is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Bluenergy Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.