Match

AS Roma vs AC Milan: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma

AS RomaAC Milan

The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for AC Milan. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Roma wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,867 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Roma vs AC Milan?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate AS Roma (2,209) and AC Milan (2,181).

40%27%33%
AS Roma winDrawAC Milan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS Roma vs AC Milan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS Roma

3-4-2-1
  1. 14D. Malen
  1. 15M. de Roon
  2. 18M. Soulé
  3. 21P. Dybala
  4. 77E. Lulli
  5. 17M. Koné
  6. 43Wesley
  1. 5E. Ndicka
  2. 26L. Balerdi
  3. 22Hermoso
  1. 95P. Gollini

AC Milan

3-4-3
  1. 12A. Rabiot
  2. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  3. 11C. Pulišić
  1. 21S. Chukwueze
  2. 80Y. Musah
  3. 22Diego Moreira
  4. 14L. Modrić
  1. 31S. Pavlović
  2. 34Mario Gila
  3. 5K. De Winter
  1. 16M. Maignan

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; AC Milan have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Roma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Genoa(home)2-0Serie A
Oct 14, 2026Real Madrid(home)3-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Como(away)0-0Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Inter(home)2-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Torino(away)2-0Serie A
AC Milan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atalanta(home)3-2Serie A
Oct 15, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Lecce(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Benfica(home)0-2UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AS Roma wins, 2 draws, 2 AC Milan wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026AS Roma 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
Nov 2, 2025AC Milan 1-0 AS RomaSerie A
May 18, 2025AS Roma 3-1 AC MilanSerie A
Feb 5, 2025AC Milan 3-1 AS RomaCoppa Italia
Dec 29, 2024AC Milan 1-1 AS RomaSerie A
May 31, 2024AS Roma 5-2 AC MilanFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: AS Roma vs AC Milan on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Roma2.11.468/1510/15
AC Milan1.91.3310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Roma sit 3rd in Serie A (17 points from 7 matches) and AC Milan sit 4th (15 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3AS Roma752016317
4AC Milan743014715

A question about AS Roma vs AC Milan?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs AC Milan?
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for AC Milan.
Where and when is AS Roma vs AC Milan played?
AS Roma vs AC Milan is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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