Cagliari vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Unipol Domus, Cagliari
The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sassuolo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cagliari vs Sassuolo?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Cagliari (1,967) and Sassuolo (1,987).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cagliari vs Sassuolo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cagliari
4-3-2-1- 31P. Mendy
- 6H. Winks
- 8M. Adopo
- 4A. Romano
- 70D. Maldini
- 79Y. Massolin
- 15J. Rodríguez
- 2Zé Pedro
- 33A. Obert
- 26Y. Mina
- 1E. Caprile
Sassuolo
4-3-3- 45A. Laurienté
- 94S. Esposito
- 10D. Berardi
- 18N. Matić
- 50D. Bakola
- 17Vasilije Adžić
- 3J. Doig
- 16F. Leysen
- 15D. Ćaleta-Car
- 20I. Van der Brempt
- 49A. Murić
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cagliari have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sassuolo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cagliari wins, 0 draws, 3 Sassuolo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Sassuolo 2-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Cagliari 1-2 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| May 19, 2024 | Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Cagliari 1-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Sassuolo 1-0 Cagliari | Coppa Italia |
How many goals should we expect?
Cagliari score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sassuolo | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cagliari sit 4th in Serie A (13 points from 6 matches) and Sassuolo sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Cagliari vs Sassuolo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Sassuolo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Cagliari.
- Where and when is Cagliari vs Sassuolo played?
- Cagliari vs Sassuolo is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Unipol Domus, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.