UNA vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zeelst, Veldhoven
The Footlab AI model makes UNA the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-1. If UNA wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA vs Groene Ster?
On Elo ratings, UNA has 1,646 points and Groene Ster 1,598.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UNA vs Groene Ster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UNA
4-3-3- 20J. Respen
- 10B. Boogers
- 17S. Simmons
- 5B. Boulghalgh
- 8J. Wielinga
- 7A. Smeins
- 12R. Boudewijns
- 27D. Zwartjes
- 2T. Scheepers
- 4Y. Sijbers
- 1P. Stošković
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GOES(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | EVV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UNA wins, 1 draw, 2 Groene Ster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Groene Ster 0-4 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 5, 2025 | UNA 2-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Groene Ster 3-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 15, 2023 | UNA 1-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 14, 2023 | UNA 0-4 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Groene Ster 1-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
UNA score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA sit 14th in Derde Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and Groene Ster sit 13th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
A question about UNA vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab AI model makes UNA the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is UNA vs Groene Ster played?
- UNA vs Groene Ster is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zeelst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.