UNA vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zeelst, Veldhoven
The Footlab model makes UNA the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA vs Groene Ster?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate UNA (1,658) and Groene Ster (1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Meerssen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | ASWH(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 9, 2026 | Kloetinge(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UNA win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Groene Ster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Groene Ster 0-4 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 5, 2025 | UNA 2-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Groene Ster 3-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 15, 2023 | UNA 1-0 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 14, 2023 | UNA 0-4 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Groene Ster 1-1 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
UNA score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.2 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA sit 11th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 2 matches) and Groene Ster sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | UNA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 | Groene Ster | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab model makes UNA the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is UNA vs Groene Ster played?
- UNA vs Groene Ster is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zeelst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.