Groene Ster vs Poortugaal: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Pronsenbroek, Heerlen
The Footlab AI model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poortugaal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groene Ster vs Poortugaal?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Groene Ster (1,593) and Poortugaal (1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groene Ster vs Poortugaal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Poortugaal
4-3-3- 9B. el Idrissi
- 7Qrushinco Rosina
- 14P. Fernand
- 16Bjorn Wagenaar
- 6Sven Breukhoven
- 2N. Voorn
- 15Daan van der Harst
- 18Baset Moshtaq
- 3S. Hamann
- 5J. den Hartog
- 1Marvin Nootenboom
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groene Ster have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Poortugaal have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GOES(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Poortugaal score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Poortugaal | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groene Ster sit 14th in Derde Divisie (9 points from 10 matches) and Poortugaal sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 15 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 9 |
A question about Groene Ster vs Poortugaal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groene Ster vs Poortugaal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is Groene Ster vs Poortugaal played?
- Groene Ster vs Poortugaal is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Pronsenbroek, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.