Unia Swarzędz vs Kalisz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz
The Footlab AI model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unia Swarzędz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Kalisz?
On Elo ratings, Unia Swarzędz has 1,711 points and Kalisz 1,639.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unia Swarzędz vs Kalisz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unia Swarzędz
Not enough data to predict the Unia Swarzędz lineup.
Kalisz
Not enough data to predict the Kalisz lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kalisz have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Unia Swarzędz wins, 0 draws, 1 Kalisz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalisz 1-0 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kalisz vs Unia Swarzędz on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unia Swarzędz score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kalisz | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unia Swarzędz sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (22 points from 16 matches) and Kalisz sit 10th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Unia Swarzędz | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Unia Swarzędz vs Kalisz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Kalisz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Kalisz played?
- Unia Swarzędz vs Kalisz is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsLech Poznań II
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- Nov 28, 2026Victoria WrześniavsPolonia Środa
- Nov 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 28, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsNoteć Czarnków
- Nov 28, 2026Lipno StęszewvsWda Świecie