Portimonense vs Academica: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão
The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academica wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portimonense vs Academica?
Academica starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,897).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portimonense vs Academica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portimonense
3-4-3- 7Danio Djassi
- 2Edney
- 93Welinton Júnior
- 15Xavier
- 80Felipe Favero
- 8João Casimiro
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 6S. Neves
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 1Dudu
Academica
4-3-3- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 8K. Zohi
- 23Rui Gomes
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 2Xavi
- 54Ni
- 12Victor Braga
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portimonense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Academica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Portimonense wins, 2 draws, 2 Academica wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2021 | Portimonense 2-1 Academica | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Academica 2-1 Portimonense | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Portimonense 2-0 Academica | Taça da Liga |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Portimonense 0-0 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Academica 0-0 Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 2, 2011 | Academica 1-0 Portimonense | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Portimonense vs Academica on Jul 23, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Portimonense score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Academica | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portimonense sit 11th in Segunda Liga (11 points from 9 matches) and Academica sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academica | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Portimonense vs Academica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portimonense vs Academica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Portimonense vs Academica played?
- Portimonense vs Academica is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Portimão, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.