Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
The Footlab AI model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Amarante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Felgueiras 1932 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Amarante (2,082) and Felgueiras 1932 (2,024).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amarante
3-4-3- 10M. Costa
- 20Luís Machado
- 5Joao Ricardo
- 26A. Zangre
- 8Tokinho
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 9Cardoso
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 65Didi
Felgueiras 1932
4-4-2- 7Mario Rivas
- 9Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leiite
- 10Michel Costa
- 8Landinho
- 77Francisco França
- 6Henrique Martins
- 17Filipe Cruz
- 3João Pinto
- 4Dudu Cruz
- 15Armando Lopes
- 14Mateus Pasinato
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amarante have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Felgueiras 1932 have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Amarante win, 1 draw, 0 Felgueiras 1932 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | Felgueiras 1932 3-5 Amarante | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Amarante 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante on Feb 2, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Felgueiras 1932 score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amarante sit 15th in Segunda Liga (5 points from 6 matches) and Felgueiras 1932 sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Felgueiras 1932 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?
- The Footlab AI model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Amarante.
- Where and when is Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 played?
- Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Amarante, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.