Match

Unión Adarve vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión AdarveTrival Valderas

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Trival Valderas?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,796) and Trival Valderas (1,829).

Unión Adarve win35 %
Draw28 %
Trival Valderas win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026La Nucía(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026La Nucía(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Las Rozas(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Las Rozas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Unión Adarve win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Trival Valderas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Trival Valderas 1-0 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 2, 2025Unión Adarve 0-2 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 17, 2019Unión Adarve 2-1 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Unión Adarve on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15
Trival Valderas1.50.777/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Trival Valderas3418610503660
6Unión Adarve3415811484253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Trival Valderas?
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Trival Valderas played?
Unión Adarve vs Trival Valderas is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unión Adarve and Trival Valderas

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