Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo AlarcónLeganés II

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721) and Leganés II (1,803).

Pozuelo Alarcón win28 %
Draw26 %
Leganés II win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Tres Cantos(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Leganés II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón 2-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 12, 2025Leganés II 3-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 21, 2024Leganés II 0-1 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 2, 2023Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Aug 6, 2022Pozuelo Alarcón 1-1 Leganés IIFriendlies Clubs
Dec 22, 2019Leganés II 1-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15
Leganés II1.71.6310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (48 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leganés II34151010633355
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II?
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II played?
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pozuelo Alarcón and Leganés II

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