Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721) and Leganés II (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tres Cantos(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Carabanchel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Leganés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón 2-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Leganés II 3-0 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Leganés II 0-1 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Pozuelo Alarcón 1-1 Leganés II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 22, 2019 | Leganés II 1-0 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (48 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
| 9 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
- Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II played?
- Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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